Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-10
Hércules vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
32.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
ELC
0 - 0
HER
23%
24%
53%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
HER
2 - 0
MAL
72%
17%
12%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
CAD
1 - 2
HER
43%
23%
34%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
SDC
4 - 1
HER
44%
23%
33%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
HER
4 - 1
ALC
79%
13%
8%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
ESP
3 - 1
CAS
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1943 |
CAS
0 - 0
ATM
43%
23%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
CEL
5 - 0
CAS
66%
17%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
VCF
1 - 2
CAS
78%
13%
9%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1943 |
CAS
3 - 0
BET
65%
18%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |