Hércules vs FC Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
15%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
VAL
1 - 2
HER
50%
25%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2003 |
CAS
0 - 2
HER
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
HER
0 - 0
FIG
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
HER
3 - 1
NOV
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
GRA
2 - 0
HER
39%
28%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 2
CAS
34%
32%
34%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
FIG
1 - 0
CAR
53%
26%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
CAR
2 - 0
PAL
38%
28%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAD
35%
31%
34%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
CIU
2 - 0
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |