Hércules vs Cartagena CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
LOR
3 - 0
HER
29%
24%
47%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
HER
4 - 1
UDA
79%
13%
8%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
IMP
2 - 5
HER
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1929 |
HER
2 - 3
ELC
64%
19%
17%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
HER
0 - 3
LOR
82%
12%
7%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | -2 |
Matches
Cartagena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
CAR
0 - 0
ELC
52%
22%
26%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
CAR
3 - 0
LOR
73%
15%
12%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
UDA
0 - 1
CAR
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1929 |
CAR
5 - 2
IMP
83%
11%
6%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
ELC
2 - 5
CAR
78%
14%
9%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |