Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-4
Hércules vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
HER
1 - 0
BUR
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
OVI
4 - 1
HER
70%
20%
10%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
HER
2 - 1
VIL
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1971 |
BAR
4 - 0
HER
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
MLL
2 - 2
HER
76%
17%
7%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
GIM
0 - 0
BAR
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
BAR
1 - 0
BAR
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAN
74%
18%
9%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1971 |
BAR
4 - 0
HER
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +3 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
LEM
1 - 3
BAR
29%
29%
42%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |