Hércules vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
CAS
1 - 2
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
HER
2 - 0
GIR
77%
14%
10%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
LEV
1 - 1
HER
59%
18%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
HER
2 - 1
BAD
69%
16%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1949 |
HER
3 - 2
CDS
87%
8%
4%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
6 - 2
VAL
79%
12%
9%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
SPO
0 - 0
BAR
63%
19%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
2 - 3
RAC
75%
14%
12%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
GRA
3 - 1
BAR
54%
21%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
3 - 0
RAC
75%
13%
12%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |