Hércules vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1944 |
SDC
2 - 1
HER
49%
21%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
HER
0 - 2
SPO
45%
22%
33%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
ALC
1 - 1
HER
46%
22%
32%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
HER
3 - 2
CUL
62%
20%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
MUR
3 - 2
HER
52%
20%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1944 |
BAR
4 - 1
ARE
63%
19%
18%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
BAR
1 - 1
SDC
51%
23%
27%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
SPO
2 - 0
BAR
75%
15%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
BAR
2 - 0
ALC
62%
19%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
CUL
3 - 0
BAR
68%
17%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |