Hércules vs Badalona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ELD
0 - 2
HER
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
HER
0 - 2
VAL
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
SMR
2 - 1
HER
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
HER
1 - 0
SAB
61%
24%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
FCB
2 - 0
HER
51%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Badalona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
BAD
0 - 1
GIR
8%
20%
72%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
BAD
0 - 2
SAG
47%
29%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
BAD
5 - 0
SPB
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CDE
2 - 0
BAD
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
SPB
2 - 1
BAD
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |