Hércules vs Badalona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
VIJ
0 - 1
HER
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
HER
0 - 1
ALI
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
GRA
0 - 1
HER
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
HER
1 - 1
HUE
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
HER
4 - 0
PAL
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Badalona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
BAD
1 - 0
OSA
38%
28%
34%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ALC
3 - 2
BAD
51%
26%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
BAD
5 - 0
UFC
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
BAD
1 - 1
LEV
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
UFC
1 - 0
BAD
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |