Hércules vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
44.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1940 |
HER
2 - 0
MAL
77%
14%
10%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
MAL
2 - 1
HER
35%
23%
42%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
HER
3 - 3
SEV
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
RMA
0 - 1
HER
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
HER
1 - 0
ATH
34%
23%
43%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1940 |
ATH
4 - 0
ALA
92%
5%
3%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
ALA
0 - 6
ATH
21%
20%
59%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
ATH
3 - 1
RMA
63%
18%
19%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
VCF
3 - 4
ATH
37%
23%
40%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
HER
1 - 0
ATH
34%
23%
43%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |