Hércules vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
CFC
0 - 0
HER
39%
29%
33%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
HER
2 - 0
DEP
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
RAC
1 - 0
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
HER
2 - 1
ATB
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
FCB
0 - 0
HER
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
CDT
0 - 1
ATH
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
ATH
0 - 0
CFC
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
DEP
1 - 0
ATH
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
ATH
2 - 0
RAC
55%
24%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
ATB
2 - 3
ATH
54%
24%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |