Hércules vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
HER
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
HER
0 - 0
GET
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SEV
1 - 0
HER
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
ZAR
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VCF
2 - 0
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 1
RAC
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2011 |
MAL
3 - 1
ALM
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 1
DEP
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
LEV
1 - 0
ALM
39%
25%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ALM
3 - 2
ESP
45%
26%
28%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |