Hércules vs Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
GRA
0 - 1
HER
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
HER
1 - 1
HUE
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
HER
4 - 0
PAL
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
LOR
2 - 2
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
HER
5 - 3
MLL
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
ALI
0 - 0
GIR
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
ALI
5 - 0
OSA
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
GIR
1 - 0
ALI
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 3
ALI
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
GIR
0 - 2
ALI
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |