Hércules vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
OLO
1 - 1
HER
27%
28%
45%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
SMR
0 - 1
HER
43%
27%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
HER
0 - 0
ELC
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
HER
1 - 1
ONT
67%
21%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
LLE
0 - 0
HER
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 1
SMR
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
ONT
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
SAG
1 - 0
ALC
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
ATB
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
PXD
0 - 0
ALC
16%
27%
57%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | -1 |