Hércules vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 2
HER
65%
22%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
PON
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
MLL
0 - 1
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
REC
43%
26%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
RMC
4 - 0
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALC
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
ALA
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ALA
0 - 1
MUR
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SAB
0 - 4
ALA
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ALA
1 - 1
CCF
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |