Hércules vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
ELC
2 - 2
HER
30%
23%
47%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
HER
4 - 1
CAR
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
BAL
2 - 2
HER
33%
23%
44%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
HER
2 - 0
ALB
78%
13%
9%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
CAT
5 - 1
HER
32%
23%
45%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1949 |
PUL
3 - 3
MUR
43%
22%
36%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
GRA
2 - 2
PUL
83%
11%
7%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
SLA
1 - 2
PUL
68%
17%
15%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1949 |
PUL
4 - 1
RCD
51%
21%
28%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
LEV
3 - 2
PUL
86%
9%
6%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |