Hércules vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 1
HER
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
HER
2 - 3
MUR
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SAB
2 - 1
HER
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
HER
0 - 1
CCF
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
UDL
2 - 1
HER
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
LUG
57%
26%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
SPO
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
ALC
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 1
SAB
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CCF
3 - 1
ALC
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |