Hércules vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SAB
1 - 1
HER
14%
27%
58%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
FCB
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
REC
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
HER
3 - 2
ALC
81%
13%
6%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
DEP
0 - 1
HER
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ALC
4 - 0
DEP
29%
29%
42%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 2
ALC
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
VIL
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
SAB
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HUE
0 - 3
ALC
46%
29%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |