Segunda Play-Offs First-leg Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Hércules vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
HUE
1 - 2
HER
27%
29%
43%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
HER
2 - 2
XER
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 5
HER
16%
27%
57%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
UDL
2 - 0
HER
32%
29%
39%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
HER
1 - 3
NUM
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
NUM
0 - 1
ALC
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 2
VAD
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
SAB
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 0
ALC
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 1
ELC
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |