Hercules SD vs CD Obrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-96%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercules SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 8
HER
9%
14%
77%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
SPO
59%
19%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
LAR
0 - 5
HER
6%
13%
82%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HER
3 - 0
ATL
57%
19%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
HER
37%
22%
41%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Obrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 0
OBR
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
OBR
3 - 1
RAC
73%
15%
13%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 0
OBR
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
OBR
3 - 2
LAR
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
OBR
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |