Hercules SD vs Sporting Burgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
70.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercules SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
HER
3 - 3
JUV
40%
22%
39%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SBE
2 - 3
HER
49%
20%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
HER
0 - 2
BLE
36%
22%
42%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PER
1 - 3
HER
50%
20%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
HER
1 - 7
CUL
14%
18%
68%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Burgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BUR
5 - 0
JUV
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BUR
5 - 2
SBE
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BLE
0 - 1
BUR
22%
20%
58%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 1
PER
86%
9%
5%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CUL
2 - 3
BUR
48%
21%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |