Hércules B vs Villarreal C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
45.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
16º
16º
39
1º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 58 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
55% | |
|
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
30% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
70% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ATZ
2 - 2
HER
74%
18%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
GAN
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PCF
1 - 0
HER
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
CAS
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
RAY
4 - 0
HER
37%
27%
36%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LEV
0 - 0
VIL
63%
22%
16%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATZ
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GAN
1 - 0
VIL
33%
24%
42%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
PCF
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIL
33%
25%
41%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |