Hércules B vs UD Petrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CDC
0 - 4
HER
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
THA
42%
25%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ALB
2 - 2
HER
36%
25%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 3
HER
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
HER
0 - 0
ALI
34%
26%
40%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UD Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
UDP
2 - 2
CAL
18%
23%
59%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
VIJ
2 - 0
UDP
74%
16%
10%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
UDP
2 - 3
SFF
15%
21%
64%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
UDP
0 - 1
CRE
14%
21%
65%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
RAY
4 - 2
UDP
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |