Hércules B vs Rayo Ibense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
16º
16º
33
2º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 58 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
55% | |
|
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
30% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
70% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ROD
0 - 2
HER
59%
23%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
ELC
23%
25%
52%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
JOV
1 - 0
HER
38%
28%
35%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 1
HER
28%
27%
46%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
VAL
14%
22%
64%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +4 |
Matches
Rayo Ibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
RAY
1 - 2
VIL
20%
23%
57%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ATZ
2 - 0
RAY
65%
21%
14%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RAY
2 - 0
GAN
39%
25%
36%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
RAY
0 - 2
ALC
8%
20%
72%
|
24 | 58 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
THD
0 - 0
RAY
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |