Hércules B vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
HER
1 - 2
INT
19%
24%
57%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ELC
1 - 0
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 0
HER
46%
26%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
HER
0 - 0
VIJ
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
HER
0 - 1
ELD
23%
23%
54%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 1
JOV
34%
26%
40%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 3
VIJ
39%
24%
38%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 0
OLI
36%
28%
37%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 1
NOV
31%
25%
43%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 1
BEN
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |