Hércules B vs Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
HER
2 - 2
ALB
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
HER
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
HER
0 - 2
CTS
60%
21%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
VIJ
0 - 2
HER
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
ALM
56%
22%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 0
THD
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
THD
1 - 2
PIN
30%
25%
45%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
THD
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
THD
1 - 2
BEN
35%
24%
40%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALG
0 - 0
THD
34%
24%
42%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |