Hércules B vs Atzeneta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
55.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
16º
16º
55
2º
13º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 58 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
55% | |
|
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 41% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 59% |
|
Mid-table
|
30% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
70% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GAN
2 - 1
HER
46%
25%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
PCF
44%
25%
31%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
HER
38%
28%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
HER
3 - 2
RAY
53%
24%
23%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ROD
0 - 2
HER
59%
23%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Atzeneta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ATZ
6 - 1
VIL
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ATZ
1 - 0
LEV
24%
27%
49%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GAN
1 - 1
ATZ
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ATZ
1 - 1
PCF
65%
21%
15%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 2
ATZ
25%
27%
49%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |