Hércules B vs UD Aspe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
INT
3 - 2
HER
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
HER
2 - 0
BEN
72%
18%
10%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
ORI
0 - 2
HER
27%
22%
51%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
SFF
0 - 2
HER
23%
24%
53%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
HER
2 - 1
UNI
65%
21%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
UD Aspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ASP
2 - 2
VIL
65%
18%
17%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
INT
3 - 1
ASP
91%
7%
2%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 0
ASP
48%
21%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
ORI
4 - 0
ASP
49%
21%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ASP
0 - 3
SFF
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -2 |