Hércules U19 vs CD Toledo U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
16º
14º
16
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
71 | 71 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LEV
1 - 0
HER
79%
14%
6%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
HER
0 - 0
CDR
19%
22%
59%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
MUR
48%
24%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
6 - 0
HER
88%
9%
3%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CDR
2 - 1
TOL
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 2
MUR
48%
24%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
5 - 0
TOL
59%
21%
20%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 3
ALZ
61%
21%
18%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 2
TOL
32%
23%
45%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |