Hércules B vs UD Petrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 2
HER
35%
24%
41%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
HER
3 - 0
SPO
68%
19%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 0
HER
66%
20%
15%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
HER
0 - 0
HOR
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
HER
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UD Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UDP
0 - 2
ALC
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
UDP
32%
24%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
UDP
1 - 2
BEN
29%
25%
46%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PIN
0 - 0
UDP
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
UDP
3 - 0
THA
49%
23%
28%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |