Hércules B vs Thader Murcia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
RAY
1 - 2
HER
14%
19%
67%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
HOR
67%
20%
14%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 2
HER
19%
22%
59%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HER
2 - 3
ELC
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 4
HER
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Thader Murcia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
THA
2 - 1
ALG
61%
21%
19%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ALC
5 - 1
THA
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
THA
2 - 3
CAL
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
JOV
1 - 0
THA
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
THA
1 - 3
UNI
79%
14%
8%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |