Hercílio Luz vs Almirante Barroso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
51.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TUB
2 - 0
HER
63%
22%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
BAR
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
HER
2 - 0
JAR
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
HER
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
MAF
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Almirante Barroso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LIT
2 - 0
CAC
43%
25%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
POR
0 - 2
LIT
17%
20%
64%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LIT
1 - 1
TUB
40%
25%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
JAR
0 - 1
LIT
19%
20%
61%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 1
LIT
37%
25%
39%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |