Hercílio Luz vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
CAC
1 - 1
HER
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
HER
1 - 0
GUA
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
HER
2 - 3
CAM
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
MAF
1 - 4
HER
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
HER
3 - 2
BAR
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 0
JAR
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
JAR
2 - 1
MAF
16%
19%
64%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
JAR
1 - 1
FFC
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 1
JAR
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 0
JAR
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |