Hercílio Luz vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
HER
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
MAF
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
POR
0 - 1
HER
26%
22%
52%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HER
2 - 1
CAC
28%
25%
48%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
HER
1 - 2
JUV
30%
25%
46%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
JAR
0 - 1
LIT
19%
20%
61%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
JAR
77%
16%
8%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAC
1 - 0
JAR
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
JAR
0 - 3
TUB
18%
23%
59%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
JAR
0 - 1
BAR
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |