Hercílio Luz vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
FFL
3 - 1
HER
78%
16%
6%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
HER
83%
14%
3%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
JEC
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
HER
4 - 0
MET
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
AVA
3 - 0
HER
80%
15%
5%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
JEC
41%
27%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MET
1 - 2
MAR
37%
27%
37%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
AVA
10%
18%
72%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
BRU
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
TUB
0 - 2
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |