Hercílio Luz vs Joacaba AC analysis

Hercílio Luz Joacaba AC
46 ELO 19
-2.1% Tilt -3.5%
2493º General ELO ranking 35350º
72º Country ELO ranking 1073º
ELO win probability
75.8%
Hercílio Luz
15%
Draw
9.2%
Joacaba AC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
Hercílio Luz
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
9.2%
Win probability
Joacaba AC
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Hercílio Luz
Joacaba AC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hercílio Luz
Hercílio Luz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2011
HER
Hercílio Luz
3 - 0
Caxias Joinville FC
CAX
11%
18%
70%
44 70 26 0
12 Oct. 2011
XVO
XV de Outubro
2 - 0
Hercílio Luz
HER
19%
22%
59%
46 21 25 -2
09 Oct. 2011
HER
Hermann Aichinger
3 - 1
Hercílio Luz
HER
62%
22%
16%
47 59 12 -1
06 Oct. 2011
HER
Hercílio Luz
1 - 0
Hermann Aichinger
HER
25%
23%
52%
46 59 13 +1
02 Oct. 2011
JUV
Juventus SC
1 - 0
Hercílio Luz
HER
46%
24%
30%
46 45 1 0

Matches

Joacaba AC
Joacaba AC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2011
JAC
Joacaba AC
1 - 3
XV de Outubro
XVO
30%
23%
47%
20 27 7 0
12 Oct. 2011
HER
Hermann Aichinger
4 - 0
Joacaba AC
JAC
76%
17%
8%
20 59 39 0
25 Sep. 2011
CAM
Camboriú FC
1 - 0
Joacaba AC
JAC
76%
15%
9%
20 48 28 0
22 Sep. 2011
JAC
Joacaba AC
3 - 1
CA Tubarão
TUB
15%
20%
66%
12 43 31 +8
17 Sep. 2011
GUA
Guarani de Palhoça
6 - 1
Joacaba AC
JAC
82%
13%
5%
12 51 39 0