Hercílio Luz vs Internacional SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
JEC
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CRI
2 - 0
HER
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
AVA
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
HER
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HER
2 - 2
FER
47%
28%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Internacional SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
INT
2 - 3
AVA
5%
16%
79%
|
35 | 75 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
JEC
2 - 1
INT
71%
18%
10%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
INT
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
INT
0 - 0
CAC
11%
21%
68%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
NES
3 - 0
INT
39%
23%
39%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |