Hercílio Luz vs Fluminense SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
NEC
0 - 2
HER
12%
17%
70%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
HER
3 - 3
CAM
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
INT
1 - 0
HER
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
HER
2 - 1
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
BRU
2 - 0
HER
63%
22%
16%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
FFC
2 - 3
MET
20%
20%
60%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
CAC
4 - 0
FFC
20%
21%
60%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -3 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
FFC
0 - 0
GUA
54%
21%
25%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ECP
2 - 0
FFC
38%
23%
39%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ECP
0 - 2
FFC
43%
23%
34%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |