Hercílio Luz vs Fluminense SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
HER
1 - 0
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 1
HER
37%
26%
38%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
HER
7 - 1
JAR
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
CAC
1 - 1
HER
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
HER
1 - 0
GUA
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Fluminense SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
MAF
1 - 0
FFC
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
FFC
1 - 2
CAM
13%
21%
66%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
CAC
2 - 0
FFC
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
FFC
83%
12%
6%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
FFC
1 - 1
BAR
22%
21%
58%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |