Hercílio Luz vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
72.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
HER
2 - 3
CHA
8%
18%
75%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 1
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
MET
3 - 1
HER
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
AVA
6%
15%
79%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
BRU
1 - 0
HER
56%
23%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FFL
0 - 1
JEC
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
MET
0 - 1
FFL
10%
18%
72%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 0
FFL
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
FFL
2 - 0
BRU
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
FFL
17%
22%
62%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |