Hercílio Luz vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
43.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
HER
3 - 1
CAM
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 2
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
4 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
HER
2 - 0
JUV
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
JAR
2 - 5
HER
13%
17%
70%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAC
1 - 0
MAR
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAC
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 5
CAC
19%
21%
60%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
CAC
4 - 1
JAR
77%
15%
9%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FFC
2 - 3
CAC
12%
19%
69%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |