Heracles vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FEY
2 - 1
HER
72%
18%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HER
6 - 1
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ZWO
4 - 2
HER
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
HBS
1 - 2
HER
16%
19%
65%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
HER
1 - 4
TWE
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 4
VIT
35%
24%
41%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 1
SCH
28%
23%
49%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 0
WIL
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
DEL
2 - 1
WIL
8%
17%
75%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 1
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |