Heracles vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
RJC
3 - 3
HER
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
ZWO
3 - 2
HER
39%
24%
37%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
HER
1 - 5
PSV
18%
21%
61%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 1
HER
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
ZWO
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 3
FEY
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
UTR
3 - 1
WIL
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 1
ADO
35%
24%
41%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
RKC
0 - 0
WIL
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
WIL
2 - 4
AJA
13%
18%
69%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |