Heracles vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
PSV
4 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
NAC
3 - 0
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
HER
0 - 0
VIT
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
UTR
2 - 0
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
HER
1 - 3
AJA
13%
20%
67%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
WIL
3 - 0
GRO
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ADO
0 - 1
WIL
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
RJC
1 - 0
WIL
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 1
RJC
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
PSV
2 - 0
WIL
77%
16%
8%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |