Heracles vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
NEC
2 - 0
HER
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
TWE
2 - 0
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
HER
1 - 3
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
HER
1 - 3
ADO
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
PSV
1 - 0
HER
74%
17%
10%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
WIL
1 - 3
AZA
22%
22%
56%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
WIL
5 - 0
GRO
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
SPA
3 - 2
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 0
NAC
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
RKC
1 - 0
WIL
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |