Heracles vs UNA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.3%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.2%
+7
2%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.2%
4-0
13.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
15.5%
3-0
17.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
21%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
16.1%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.1%
1.6%
Win probability
0.26
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SCH
3 - 1
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PSV
1 - 1
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
TWE
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GRO
0 - 0
HER
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 3
HER
8%
15%
77%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
UNA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
UNA
1 - 0
HUI
13%
17%
70%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
UNA
3 - 2
ODI
10%
16%
74%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | +5 |