Heracles vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ZWO
1 - 1
HER
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
HER
4 - 1
GRO
47%
24%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VIT
4 - 0
HER
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
HER
2 - 1
FCE
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
BOS
1 - 2
HER
10%
14%
76%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 0
VIT
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VIT
4 - 0
HER
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FEY
2 - 1
VIT
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
VOL
1 - 2
VIT
5%
11%
85%
|
79 | 40 | 39 | +1 |