Heracles vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
UTR
0 - 0
HER
63%
21%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
HER
0 - 1
GRO
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2006 |
PSV
3 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
HER
2 - 3
SPA
45%
25%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
HER
1 - 1
RJC
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
VIT
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2006 |
VIT
4 - 2
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
RJC
2 - 4
VIT
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
VIT
3 - 1
RKC
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
VIT
0 - 1
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |