Heracles vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
HER
9 - 1
USM
93%
6%
2%
|
72 | 10 | 62 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
GAE
0 - 2
HER
45%
24%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
HER
3 - 3
HEL
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
FOR
0 - 3
HER
17%
22%
61%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
HER
0 - 1
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
AFC
0 - 2
TEL
24%
22%
54%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
FCE
4 - 3
TEL
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
TEL
2 - 0
FCD
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
GAE
3 - 1
TEL
67%
19%
15%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
TEL
0 - 1
HEL
28%
25%
46%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |