Heracles vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PSV
2 - 0
HER
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HER
3 - 6
AZA
34%
25%
40%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
HER
2 - 0
ZWO
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 0
HER
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
AJA
0 - 0
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FEY
1 - 1
RJC
65%
20%
16%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
RJC
0 - 1
TWE
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ADO
2 - 2
RJC
51%
24%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
RJC
0 - 1
FEY
28%
24%
49%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RJC
2 - 2
AJA
18%
24%
59%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |