Heracles vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PSV
4 - 0
HER
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
GRO
4 - 1
HER
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
HER
3 - 1
UTR
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
HER
3 - 0
HFC
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
VIT
0 - 2
HER
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
RJC
2 - 4
AZA
19%
23%
58%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SPA
1 - 2
RJC
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
RJC
1 - 2
TWE
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
RJC
0 - 2
PSV
23%
27%
50%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
UTR
2 - 1
RJC
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |